Sorry if this belongs in the newbie section, I read for a while before posting and this seemed like the right board because it's an offer question rather than a general one.
Background so the answers are useful: I've been approved at two networks, mostly because I was honest that I'm starting out and one manager was nice about it. I have about $600 I'm willing to lose and I mean actually lose, not "lose but be upset". I've never run a paid campaign in my life. I can write reasonably well and I've built a couple of small sites for other reasons so I'm not scared of a domain and a host.
The dashboards have hundreds of offers and I have no way to tell which of them are appropriate for someone who has never done this. I keep getting told "pick something with a low payout so the volume is higher" and also "low payouts are a race to the bottom, go for higher ticket", which cannot both be right.
So the question is not which offer. It's what kind of offer, and why that kind.